The poll asked, "Which Republican is best qualified to represent South Dakota in Congress?" 190 respondents clicked as follows:
- Chris Nelson: 90 (47%)
- Kristi Noem: 83 (44%)
- R. Blake Curd: 17 (9%)
So, given the standard online self-selecting polling error about the size of Kristi Noem's farm subsidies, what do we learn from these numbers? Here are some possible interpretations:
- Nelson's got name.
- Noem's got buzz.
- Curd's got money that isn't buying much. (As of March 31, Curd had spent twice as much as Noem and Nelson combined.)
- Noem's people pay more attention to the Web. Yes, that skews polls... but no more than any good get-out-the-vote push skews election results.
- The conservatives who come to this blog to observe and dissect opposing views aren't flocking to Curd. They see Nelson and Noem as better standard bearers for the fall who can better cut into Stephanie Herseth Sandlin's greatest source of strength, the gentle middle who just want to vote for someone who seems nice enough.