This blog printed on 100% recycled electrons.
Americans are pretty evenly divided on whether they'd rather have four more years of Barack Obama or replace him with a Republican in 2012, with 48% going for Obama and 47% with a generic Republican. But with the exception of Mitt Romney none of the actual top tier Republican candidates poll as well against the President as the hypothetical one.
Obama leads Romney 47-46, matching his generic ballot lead. Obama's lead expands to 48-45 over Mike Huckabee, 49-43 over Newt Gingrich, 51-42 over Sarah Palin, and 48-37 over Marco Rubio who PPP followers voted in as this month's 'wild card' candidate [Tom Jensen, "Obama Leads All Republicans," Public Policy Polling, 2010.11.29].
PPP also finds that Palin, the Celebritarian playing the press better than any regular Republican, is viewed as electable by only 28% of Americans. She can't even get a majority of Republicans to say they think she could beat the President in 2012.
One-term President? Go ahead, conservatives. Keep telling yourselves that, if it makes you happy. But you have yet to come up with someone who can make that happen.
It's mighty early to make forecasts on this issue. I'm surprised that Obama leads Romney by only one percentage point, and Huckabee by only three.
ReplyDeleteA lot can happen in 2 years, either side shouldn't be getting their hopes up.
ReplyDeleteAgreed—it's way early. But what little data may be available now doesn't point toward any easy fulfillment of Minority Leader McConnell's #1 goal.
ReplyDeleteStumbling through a Des Moines Register article that mentioned John Thune revealed this fun little blog.
ReplyDeleteIntriguing! Any idea who these LooneyThune guys are? Any SD connection? CB and Sean, care to comment?
ReplyDeleteYou're as accurate with this prediction as you were in the November 2nd Election results. Can we say, "Blinders!"
ReplyDeleteBlinders? I'm looking at other people's polls, finding Thune hardly registering on the radar, and finding no oher Republican beating Obama. I'm looking very clearly at the data available. What blinders?
ReplyDelete